For us Indians, gold is a symbol of purity, prosperity and opulence. However, globally, gold normally trades like a commodity -- the most precious commodity. Not only is it universally accepted, it is also considered as safe haven in times of economic turbulence and an effective inflation-hedge.
Why gold prices have been shooting up?
Though gold prices have been softening in the last couple of weeks in the past decade (as indicated in the chart below), gold has appreciated around seven-fold in value. Global gold prices are decided not only by supply and demand factors, but also by the global economic outlook.
When investors lose confidence in currencies, stock markets, and the overall economy, they turn to gold.
Let's look at the current economic situation.
After US and PIGS (Portugal, Italy, Greece and Spain) countries, Hungary is also showing signs of debt crisis. The sentiment among the world's stock markets is low with fears of further break down in the Euro and serious doubts being raised on other countries with high levels of public debt.
Faltering economic situations like these will eventually turn inflationary (leading to increase in prices) as central banks continue to print money to create artificial demand and/or monetise their debt.
Adding to this, the recovery that many were talking about in the United States is clearly on life support, that is, on the back of stimulus programmes, which cannot sustain for long unless there is real growth in the US economy (contributed by US domestic consumer spending).
All in all, signs of risk aversion are back (from 2008) and now it's all about capital protection.
Gold, due to its universal acceptance, is considered the best respite during election uncertainties, war fears, and economic instability. So in other words, it is also the world's economic health thermometer -- and when this 'thermometer' is high -- it means the world may be in for another or worse financial condition.

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